Spain sees lower growth, higher unemployment as housing sector slumps
Thursday, May 1st, 2008Gross domestic product (GDP) will expand 2.3 percent in both 2008 and 2009 instead of the previously predicted 3.1 percent and 3.0 percent, Economy Minister Pedro Solbes told a news conference.
“The adjustment in the property sector is proving to be more intense than what we initially predicted,” he said.
The slowing economy will be accompanied by a rise in the unemployment rate to 9.8 percent in 2008 and 10 percent by the end of 2009 compared from 8.3 percent last year, the government predicted.
Earlier on Friday, national statistics office INE said the number of jobless rose by 246,000 or 13 percent in the first quarter to 2.1 million people, its biggest jump it 15 years.
That put the unemployment rate in the first quarter at a 3-year high of 9.6 percent, up from 8.6 percent in the previous three months.
That put the unemployment rate in the first quarter at a 3-year high of 9.6 percent, up from 8.6 percent in the previous three months.
“Spain is really in a dire situation right now,” Bank of America economist Gilles Moec told AFP, noting the country also accounts for 12 percent of the eurozone economy.
“Spain is really turning down very fast, faster than what we anticipated and its not just the construction sector which is doing badly,” he said.
Spain has led job creation in Europe in recent years with the jobless rate hitting 7.95 percent in the second quarter of 2007, its lowest level since 1978.
But the jobless started to rise late last year as the key building sector was hurt by rising interest rates and the international lending crunch, putting the brakes on a decade-long credit-fueled expansion.
Many of the newly jobless in the construction sector are immigrants who moved to Spain from Latin America and eastern Europe in recent years, drawn by the property boom.
“Spain is perhaps one of the most worrying cases of all in the euro zone at the moment,” Howard Archer, chief economist at Global Insight in London, told AFP.
Last week, Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero’s Socialist government, re-elected in a March general election, approved a two-year 18-billion-euro (28.5-billion-dollar) economic stimulus package.
The government says the package of tax rebates and public works spending will be paid for by dipping into the government’s surplus which Solbes said it hoped to maintain in 2008.













